CD El Nacional vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 0
MAN
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LOJ
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |