Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
CD El Nacional vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
VEL
3 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |