Pref. Murcia Round 17

CD El Esparragal vs Villa de Fortuna analysis

CD El Esparragal Villa de Fortuna
19 ELO 17
-10.2% Tilt -9.8%
15168º General ELO ranking 32901º
3402º Country ELO ranking 9306º
ELO win probability
45.1%
CD El Esparragal
22.1%
Draw
32.8%
Villa de Fortuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
CD El Esparragal
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.8%
Win probability
Villa de Fortuna
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD El Esparragal
-4%
-83%
Villa de Fortuna

ELO progression

CD El Esparragal
Villa de Fortuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD El Esparragal
CD El Esparragal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2018
MME
Mar Menor B
2 - 0
CD El Esparragal
EEP
46%
22%
32%
19 18 1 0
09 Dec. 2018
EEP
CD El Esparragal
1 - 2
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
CDT
55%
21%
24%
19 18 1 0
02 Dec. 2018
PLU
Plus Ultra
0 - 1
CD El Esparragal
EEP
57%
21%
22%
19 21 2 0
24 Nov. 2018
EEP
CD El Esparragal
2 - 0
Jumilla CD
JUM
61%
20%
20%
18 16 2 +1
18 Nov. 2018
EFA
EF Alhama
2 - 0
CD El Esparragal
EEP
61%
20%
20%
19 21 2 -1

Matches

Villa de Fortuna
Villa de Fortuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2018
VIL
Villa de Fortuna
4 - 1
Balsicas Atlético
BAL
76%
14%
9%
17 13 4 0
09 Dec. 2018
CDB
CD Beniel
3 - 3
Villa de Fortuna
VIL
57%
22%
21%
17 19 2 0
02 Dec. 2018
VIL
Villa de Fortuna
1 - 1
Abarán CF
ABA
29%
23%
48%
17 22 5 0
25 Nov. 2018
RMC
Racing Murcia
0 - 0
Villa de Fortuna
VIL
68%
17%
15%
16 19 3 +1
17 Nov. 2018
MME
Mar Menor B
3 - 2
Villa de Fortuna
VIL
46%
22%
33%
17 17 0 -1