Chert vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
CHE
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
VAL
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ATZ
0 - 2
CHE
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
VIN
2 - 1
CHE
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CIN
1 - 1
ATZ
24%
23%
53%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 2
ESP
30%
22%
48%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 3
CIN
54%
21%
25%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 0
CIN
77%
15%
8%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 1
CLU
48%
22%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |