Chert vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CDB
2 - 4
CHE
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
TRR
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
ALM
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 2
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
RAF
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 3
PEN
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
RPL
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NJC
2 - 0
PEN
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
ORP
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |