CD Castellón vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 0
MLL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
41%
29%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
FIG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 5
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 2
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 0
YEC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |