CD Castellón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
RCD
3 - 1
CAS
37%
23%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
CAS
5 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LEV
2 - 0
CAS
57%
18%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
CAS
4 - 0
GRA
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
CAS
2 - 0
MLL
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
HER
5 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
VAL
7 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
HER
3 - 0
BAD
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
MAL
9 - 2
HER
50%
20%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
HER
3 - 2
RCF
51%
20%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |