Carranza B vs Sanse C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+1046%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
JRR
2 - 11
CAR
15%
16%
69%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
MOR
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COB
0 - 3
CAR
14%
15%
71%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALG
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AAL
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sanse C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UDS
0 - 4
RCS
32%
21%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FOA
4 - 1
UDS
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDS
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 2
LTV
22%
18%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DAG
8 - 1
UDS
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |