Primera RFEF Grupo II. Jor. 8

CD Calahorra vs Numancia analysis

CD Calahorra Numancia
53 ELO 60
-8.5% Tilt -22.1%
4491º General ELO ranking 2896º
140º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
27.4%
CD Calahorra
28.5%
Draw
44%
Numancia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
CD Calahorra
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44%
Win probability
Numancia
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Calahorra
-12%
-6%
Numancia

Points and table prediction

CD Calahorra
Their league position
Numancia
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
20º
19º
46
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eldense
69
69
100%
SD Amorebieta
69
69
100%
CD Castellón
62
62
100%
Barça Atlètic
61
61
100%
Real Sociedad B
60
60
100%
Real Murcia
56
56
100%
Osasuna Promesas
53
53
100%
Gimnàstic Tarragona
53
53
100%
SD Logroñés
51
51
100%
CE Sabadell
10º
50
50
10º
100%
CF Intercity
12º
49
49
11º
100%
UE Cornellà
11º
49
49
12º
100%
Real Unión Club
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Alcoyano
15º
47
47
14º
0%
Atlético Baleares
14º
47
47
15º
0%
CF La Nucía
17º
46
46
16º
100%
Numancia
16º
46
46
17º
100%
UD Logroñés
18º
36
36
18º
100%
CD Calahorra
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Bilbao Ath.
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Calahorra
Numancia
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

CD Calahorra
Numancia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Calahorra
CD Calahorra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
SDL
SD Logroñés
0 - 2
CD Calahorra
CLH
46%
28%
26%
51 51 0 0
02 Oct. 2022
CLH
CD Calahorra
1 - 2
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
44%
27%
30%
52 51 1 -1
25 Sep. 2022
SAB
CE Sabadell
1 - 0
CD Calahorra
CLH
59%
25%
16%
53 60 7 -1
17 Sep. 2022
CLH
CD Calahorra
0 - 0
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
36%
30%
34%
53 58 5 0
11 Sep. 2022
FCB
Barça Atlètic
2 - 0
CD Calahorra
CLH
67%
21%
13%
54 59 5 -1

Matches

Numancia
Numancia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
NUM
Numancia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad B
RSO
46%
27%
27%
60 56 4 0
02 Oct. 2022
SDA
SD Amorebieta
1 - 2
Numancia
NUM
45%
27%
29%
59 58 1 +1
25 Sep. 2022
NUM
Numancia
2 - 0
CF La Nucía
NUC
56%
26%
18%
58 52 6 +1
17 Sep. 2022
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
Numancia
NUM
31%
30%
39%
59 55 4 -1
11 Sep. 2022
NUM
Numancia
0 - 1
Alcoyano
ALC
51%
27%
22%
59 56 3 0
X