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Tercera Division. XIV - Extremadura, Matchday 13

CD Azuaga vs Olivenza analysis

CD Azuaga Olivenza
22 ELO 11
-33% Tilt 54%
6768º General ELO ranking 10576º
507º Country ELO ranking 1131º
ELO win probability
24.9%
CD Azuaga
25.8%
Draw
49.2%
Olivenza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
CD Azuaga
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.2%
Win probability
Olivenza
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Azuaga
+15%
+20%
Olivenza

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CP Cacereño
50
50
100%
Montijo
49
49
100%
CD Coria
45
45
100%
CD Diocesano
44
44
100%
Moralo
42
42
100%
Jerez
36
36
100%
Extremadura B
32
32
100%
Plasencia
30
30
100%
Miajadas
28
28
100%
EMD Aceuchal
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Arroyo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Calamonte
12º
23
23
12º
50%
CD Azuaga
13º
23
23
13º
50%
AD Llerenense
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Trujillo
15º
19
19
15º
50%
Racing Valverdeño
16º
19
19
16º
50%
Olivenza
17º
18
18
17º
100%
UD Fuente de Cantos
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Chinato
19º
15
15
19º
50%
Campanario
20º
15
15
20º
50%
CP Valdivia
21º
13
13
21º
100%
AD Lobón
22º
12
12
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Azuaga
Olivenza
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Next phase
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Olivenza
OLI
CD Azuaga
AZU
CP Cacereño
CPC
Arroyo
ARR
Racing Valverdeño
VAL
Jerez
JER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Azuaga
CD Azuaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO AZU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2021
MIA
Miajadas
0 - 1
CD Azuaga
AZU
41%
28%
31%
284 168 -116 0
20 Dec. 2020
ADL
AD Llerenense
1 - 1
CD Azuaga
AZU
45%
27%
28%
284 288 4 0
13 Dec. 2020
AZU
CD Azuaga
3 - 1
UD Fuente de Cantos
UDF
47%
27%
26%
282 190 92 +2
08 Dec. 2020
CDD
CD Diocesano
1 - 0
CD Azuaga
AZU
53%
25%
22%
283 463 180 -1
05 Dec. 2020
AZU
CD Azuaga
0 - 2
CP Cacereño
CPC
39%
28%
34%
286 471 -185 -2

Matches

Olivenza
Olivenza
1%
X%
2%
ELO OLI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
OLI
Olivenza
0 - 0
Trujillo
TRU
39%
28%
34%
159 330 -171 0
20 Dec. 2020
OLI
Olivenza
3 - 0
Arroyo
ARR
41%
28%
31%
157 215 -58 +3
08 Dec. 2020
MIA
Miajadas
1 - 4
Olivenza
OLI
45%
27%
28%
154 167 13 +3
05 Dec. 2020
OLI
Olivenza
1 - 1
AD Llerenense
ADL
42%
27%
31%
154 291 -137 0
29 Nov. 2020
UDF
UD Fuente de Cantos
1 - 3
Olivenza
OLI
47%
27%
26%
151 197 46 +2