Arces vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
ARC
68%
18%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
UDS
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
ARC
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 2
RIO
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ARC
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 3
AGU
72%
15%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UVA
0 - 2
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
PED
53%
21%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 3
VIC
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
2 - 0
UNI
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |