Arces vs San Jose Jesuitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
ARC
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 3
RAC
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 2
VIA
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
6 - 2
ARC
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 0
PIO
31%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Jose Jesuitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
VIA
3 - 6
SJJ
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 2
SJJ
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SJJ
4 - 1
PIO
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 1
SJJ
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SJJ
2 - 0
APO
66%
17%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |