Gaucho 1 1ª Fase - Eliminatorias. Final

Caxias do Sul vs Grêmio analysis

Caxias do Sul Grêmio
55 ELO 86
-13.2% Tilt -17.8%
1742º General ELO ranking 52º
56º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.9%
Caxias do Sul
23.6%
Draw
62.5%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62.5%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caxias do Sul
+3%
-4%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
32%
27%
41%
53 58 5 0
09 Feb. 2020
ESP
Esportivo BG
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
32%
26%
42%
54 48 6 -1
06 Feb. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
14%
23%
63%
53 75 22 +1
02 Feb. 2020
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Brasil de Pelotas
BRA
30%
25%
45%
53 57 4 0
30 Jan. 2020
AIM
Aimoré
0 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
38%
27%
36%
52 50 2 +1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2020
SCI
Internacional
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
40%
27%
33%
86 84 2 0
09 Feb. 2020
AIM
Aimoré
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
12%
23%
65%
87 48 39 -1
04 Feb. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
5 - 0
Esportivo BG
ESP
85%
12%
3%
87 49 38 0
31 Jan. 2020
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
EC São José
ECS
82%
14%
4%
87 56 31 0
26 Jan. 2020
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
15%
24%
61%
87 57 30 0
X