Cavenago vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavenago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 1
CAV
49%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
2 - 4
VER
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIG
2 - 0
CAV
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
5 - 3
BOL
83%
11%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ORC
2 - 1
CAV
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 2
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
CRE
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 1
PED
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRE
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
CRE
1 - 0
ALR
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |