Cavaly vs Ouanaminthe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
35%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
FIC
36%
32%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RDC
4 - 1
CAV
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAV
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 1
DON
49%
31%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASM
37%
32%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ouanaminthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OUA
1 - 3
RDC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
RDC
3 - 1
OUA
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROU
1 - 1
OUA
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OUA
1 - 0
ASM
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OUA
2 - 0
RAC
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |