Catania vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
CAT
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
CAT
19%
27%
54%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
JUS
23%
27%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ASM
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
TAR
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |