Catania vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
INT
4 - 0
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
CAT
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 2
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
49%
31%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
INT
11%
20%
68%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
COM
0 - 2
ASC
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
USF
1 - 0
COM
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |