Castuera vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 0
CAS
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAS
4 - 0
MAL
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 2
TAL
40%
25%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 0
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ORE
0 - 1
GIM
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
ORE
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
5 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |