Castrovillari vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
USC
0 - 0
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 1
USC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
POM
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
USC
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
TUR
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 1
POM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
ROC
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 3
TUR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIC
3 - 1
ROC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 2
RAA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |