Castrovillari vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USC
0 - 0
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 0
USC
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 0
USC
28%
21%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
CIT
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOC
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
NOC
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
AEE
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |