Castro vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAV
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
REV
2 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEL
55%
23%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
NOJ
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 3
ESC
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAY
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TEX
0 - 3
ESC
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ESC
2 - 2
RIB
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIM
4 - 1
ESC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |