Castro vs UC Cartes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
SEL
43%
25%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GIM
0 - 1
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SDT
0 - 1
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
GIM
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SDT
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |