Castro vs Ribamontán al Mar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
CAS
0 - 0
MCU
34%
32%
34%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
21%
30%
50%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAR
25%
28%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
PON
1 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ribamontán al Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
TEX
2 - 0
RIB
21%
26%
53%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
RIB
2 - 3
ESC
15%
28%
58%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
MCU
3 - 1
RIB
74%
18%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
RIB
0 - 2
SAN
68%
22%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
LAR
3 - 1
RIB
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |