Castro vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BUE
2 - 1
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALB
51%
25%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ESC
4 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 2
REO
35%
28%
37%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
0 - 1
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
NOJ
7 - 0
GAM
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GAM
0 - 1
TRA
52%
24%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |