Castro vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 3
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
TEX
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOJ
1 - 1
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
CUL
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CUL
2 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CUL
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CUL
2 - 4
COL
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TEX
0 - 0
CUL
30%
24%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |