Castro Daire vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
13º
12º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 0
CAS
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
BMA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |