Castro Daire vs Santa Cruz de Alvarenga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
OLH
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 3
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRA
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALV
2 - 0
FAV
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLH
1 - 0
ALV
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 0
ALV
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
3 - 1
GOU
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAL
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |