Castrense B vs Santaclarense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
NEG
33%
24%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NEG
3 - 0
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
NAV
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALV
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santaclarense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 0
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
MES
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
SAN
11%
18%
71%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
ALV
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 1
ODE
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |