Castilblanco A vs Zurbarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ELA
3 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
SMA
4 - 2
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
SIR
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OCD
5 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 1
PUL
53%
21%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 0
FMO
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ZUR
4 - 0
PGA
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SBA
0 - 3
ZUR
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |