Castellanzese vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ADR
5 - 2
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ARC
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
ARC
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
SON
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |