Castanese vs FC Parabiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
2 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SED
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
BON
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 2
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FC Parabiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
FOO
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOO
2 - 3
CAS
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BON
2 - 1
FOO
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FOO
0 - 2
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 4
FOO
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |