Casertana vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 2
CAS
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
BIS
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIE
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 2
CAS
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIC
59%
25%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
SIC
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 2
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 0
CAV
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUS
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 0
FRA
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |