Casertana vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
8.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
REN
53%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAT
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
JUS
35%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 1
AUD
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 0
PIC
23%
25%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
RAA
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RPO
4 - 0
PIC
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PIC
3 - 1
TUR
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |