Caselas vs Ourense UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDA
1 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAM
51%
22%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PSC
0 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CUL
3 - 4
CAS
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ourense UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDO
2 - 0
PON
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
UDO
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
UDO
2 - 0
FIS
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UPH
0 - 1
UDO
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |