Casa Pia AC vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 1
CAS
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 1
VAR
80%
14%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |