Carugate vs Speranza Agrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carugate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COB
2 - 3
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
CRI
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
9%
16%
76%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 5
CAR
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Speranza Agrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COB
2 - 2
SPE
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
5 - 3
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPE
4 - 0
CRI
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 5
SPE
10%
17%
74%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |