Carranza vs Fomento Alumni CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HMA
1 - 3
CAR
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
COB
31%
24%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 4
VDB
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FOM
3 - 0
ALC
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NBO
4 - 0
FOM
31%
22%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
FOM
3 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FOM
1 - 1
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |