Carquefou vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEH
0 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEM
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
VCH
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 1
SAU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 1
LES
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 3
SAU
38%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SAU
3 - 0
FON
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |