Carlton Town vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GOO
1 - 1
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
STO
5 - 2
CAR
55%
22%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 3
CAR
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
LOU
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
QUO
1 - 1
KID
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
QUO
4 - 0
BRI
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KID
2 - 0
QUO
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
QUO
2 - 3
WIL
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
QUO
3 - 5
SHE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |