Carlton Town vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
RAI
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
KID
1 - 2
CAR
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
BEL
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LEE
2 - 1
CAR
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
HAL
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
NEW
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
STA
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |