Carlton Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
4 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
FRI
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRI
36%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIN
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
4 - 1
GRE
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
TAD
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |