Carolinense vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 4
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
CDA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CFS
0 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAE
30%
25%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAI
1 - 3
CAR
33%
25%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
JOD
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 3
VIL
8%
18%
73%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CLU
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
ESC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 4
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |