North Carolina vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CVF
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
4 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TUC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 1
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 1
GTR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 3
RIC
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
3 - 0
OMA
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 1
CRW
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |