North Carolina vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
OTT
2 - 1
CAR
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAA
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
RIC
2 - 0
TUC
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
RIC
6 - 2
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RIC
2 - 2
LIG
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RIC
1 - 0
CRW
21%
23%
57%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
GTR
0 - 1
RIC
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +2 |