Carmelita vs UCR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
ADC
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ADC
1 - 4
GUA
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LFC
0 - 1
ADC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADC
0 - 1
PER
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
SAP
3 - 1
ADC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAP
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
GUA
47%
29%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LFC
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |