CA Manucci vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 2
MAN
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 2
GAR
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 3
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 1
HUA
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 1
SBO
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
4 - 0
MEL
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 4
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |