Carlisle United vs Man. Utd Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 0
GIL
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STE
2 - 1
CUM
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 1
SWI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
STF
3 - 2
CUM
50%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Man. Utd Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
FUL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 5
CRY
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |