Carlisle City vs Northallerton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 4
BIS
16%
18%
67%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WES
3 - 1
CCF
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
CCF
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
2 - 1
GUI
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
CCF
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Northallerton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
GUI
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
SHI
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SEA
0 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
WHI
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |