Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAR
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
RHY
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
34%
23%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |