Cardiff City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 4
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
POR
2 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 1
BOU
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 3
LEE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 1
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |